
Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ (Constellation Brands, Inc.) trades at 4.3x EV/Revenue — reasonably priced for a consumer staples company with strong gross margins (51%) and mature growth profile (+0% YoY). The business is approaching profitability at 8% EBIT margins. Forward PE of 12x.
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Constellation Brands is one of America's leading alcoholic beverage companies, known for premium beer brands like Corona and Modelo in the U.S. market, as well as a portfolio of wine and spirits brands including Robert Mondavi and SVEDKA vodka. They make money by importing, marketing, and distributing these beverages to retailers, restaurants, and bars across North America.
STZ has delivered consistent mid-single-digit net sales growth driven by the continued premiumization trend in beer consumption. The Mexican beer portfolio benefits from demographic tailwinds as Hispanic population growth and mainstream adoption of Corona/Modelo drive market share gains. Growth is supported by capacity expansion investments and strategic brand building.
The company operates with healthy gross margins in the 50-55% range, supported by premium brand positioning and efficient supply chain operations. Operating margins have remained stable around 25-30% despite inflationary pressures, demonstrating strong pricing discipline. STZ generates substantial free cash flow, enabling consistent dividend growth and share repurchases.
STZ holds a dominant position in imported Mexican beer with limited direct competition and high barriers to entry through exclusive brand licensing agreements. Key competitors include Anheuser-Busch InBev and Molson Coors in the broader beer market, but STZ's brands occupy a differentiated premium import niche with strong consumer loyalty and brand equity.
Without access to recent financial data, the company has historically shown resilient performance through various economic cycles. The Mexican beer portfolio typically demonstrates steady volume growth and pricing power, while wine and spirits segments face more cyclical pressures depending on consumer discretionary spending patterns.
Analysts generally view STZ favorably due to its market-leading position in the attractive Mexican beer import category and consistent execution. The company is typically seen as a defensive consumer staples play with growth characteristics, though valuation debates often center on multiple expansion potential versus mature market dynamics.
STZ offers investors exposure to the secular premiumization trend in beer through dominant Mexican import brands, combining defensive consumer staples characteristics with steady growth and strong cash generation capabilities.








| '25E | '26E | '27E | '28E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.1B | $9.1B | $9.3B | $9.7B |
| Growth | — | +0% | +2% | +4% |
| EBITDA | — | $1.8B | $1.9B | $1.9B |
| Growth | — | +2% | +4% | |
| FCF | $1.9B | — | — | — |
| Margin | 21% | — |
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Is STZ Stock Headed To $125?
| — |
| — |
| EPS (PF) | $11.62 | $12.39 | $13.01 | $14.84 |
| Growth | — | +7% | +5% | +14% |