
BlackRock, Inc.

BLK (BlackRock, Inc.) trades at 5.7x EV/Revenue — reasonably priced for a financials company with strong gross margins (56%) and healthy growth (+18% YoY). The business is highly profitable at 35% EBIT margins. Forward PE of 18x.
The average bear market lasts 9.6 months with a 36% decline. The average bull market lasts 2.7 years with a 114% gain.
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BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, overseeing approximately $10 trillion in assets under management (AUM) across institutional and retail clients globally. They generate revenue primarily through management fees on their actively managed funds, ETFs (including the dominant iShares franchise), and their technology platform Aladdin, which provides risk management and portfolio analytics to institutional investors.
BlackRock has delivered consistent mid-to-high single-digit organic AUM growth over the past decade, driven by market appreciation and positive net flows into ETFs and index funds. The secular shift toward passive investing and international expansion provide multi-year growth runway, while the Aladdin technology business offers higher-margin revenue diversification with double-digit growth potential.
BlackRock maintains industry-leading operating margins around 40%+ due to its scale advantages and efficient ETF business model. The company generates substantial free cash flow (typically $4-5B annually) and returns most to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, though margins face ongoing pressure from the mix shift toward lower-fee passive products.
BlackRock's scale creates a virtually unassailable competitive moat in passive investing, with cost advantages that smaller competitors cannot match. Primary rivals include Vanguard (in passive) and traditional active managers like Fidelity and JPMorgan, but BlackRock's combination of passive dominance, global reach, and the Aladdin technology platform creates a unique competitive position.
*Note: Due to limited recent financial data availability, specific quarterly performance details cannot be provided. Investors should review the most recent 10-Q filing and earnings call transcript for current quarterly results and management commentary.*
Analysts generally maintain positive long-term views on BlackRock given its dominant market position and exposure to secular growth trends, though sentiment fluctuates based on market conditions affecting AUM levels and fee rate trajectories. The stock is typically viewed as a high-quality defensive play within financials.
BlackRock is essentially a toll-booth operator on the global investment highway, with unmatched scale and diversification that should generate steady cash flows despite ongoing fee pressure challenges.
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| '25E | '26E | '27E | '28E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $24.0B | $28.4B | $31.5B | $35.4B |
| Growth | — | +18% | +11% | +12% |
| EBITDA | — | $10.9B | $12.1B | $13.6B |
| Growth | — | +11% | +12% | |
| FCF | $3.7B | — | — | — |
| Margin | 16% | — |
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| — |
| EPS (PF) | $47.22 | $54.18 | $61.79 | $70.67 |
| Growth | — | +15% | +14% | +14% |